Calig vs Cinctorra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
SAL
2 - 1
CAL
40%
23%
37%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
CAL
0 - 1
ESP
28%
22%
49%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
VIL
3 - 1
CAL
45%
22%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CAL
4 - 0
CAN
79%
14%
8%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CAL
7 - 0
CFA
53%
21%
26%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cinctorra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CIN
2 - 2
CLU
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
CLU
7 - 0
CIN
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CIN
1 - 2
BEN
17%
20%
63%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CHE
6 - 1
CIN
93%
5%
2%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
USM
7 - 0
CIN
68%
16%
16%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |