Calig vs Chert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CIN
3 - 3
CAL
16%
18%
67%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
8 - 0
ESP
53%
20%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAL
18%
19%
64%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TRR
5 - 1
CAL
39%
22%
39%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 2
BEN
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
CHE
1 - 2
TRR
35%
22%
43%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CHE
5 - 1
CLU
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 3
CHE
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 1
CHE
43%
22%
35%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 1
CHE
37%
22%
41%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |