Calig vs Albocacer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 2
BNC
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
4 - 0
TIR
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
5 - 0
ATZ
88%
8%
3%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 0
CHE
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CIN
3 - 3
CAL
16%
18%
67%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Albocacer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
ALB
4 - 1
CLU
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 3
ALB
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ALB
2 - 4
TRR
33%
23%
44%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
BEN
2 - 3
ALB
33%
21%
46%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ALB
4 - 0
SAL
61%
19%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |