Calheta vs Portosantense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
50.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calheta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 0
CAL
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
SAN
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 0
CAL
44%
24%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
CAN
27%
23%
49%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PON
1 - 2
CAL
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Portosantense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
POR
3 - 2
AND
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 6
POR
13%
20%
67%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
POR
5 - 0
CRU
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
POR
1 - 0
1MA
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAC
3 - 2
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |