Calheta vs Caniçal analysis


20	ELO	30
-1.4%	Tilt	-0.8%
20758º	General ELO ranking	20755º
380º	Country ELO ranking	377º
ELO win probability

27.3%

Calheta

23.4%

Draw

49.3%

Caniçal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

27.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%

23.4%

Draw

0-0

4.9%

1-1

10.8%

2-2

6%

3-3

1.5%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

23.4%

49.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%