Calera vs CF Orgaceño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
47.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
ARG
66%
18%
15%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CDE
0 - 0
CAL
46%
23%
32%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
PTO
1 - 1
CAL
69%
18%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 1
MEN
63%
19%
18%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
POL
5 - 1
CAL
23%
22%
55%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
CF Orgaceño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ORG
2 - 0
CON
52%
23%
26%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ARG
1 - 4
ORG
19%
21%
61%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 1
ORG
26%
24%
50%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ORG
1 - 0
CDE
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ORG
3 - 0
URD
47%
24%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |