Calera vs CDEEF Patrocinio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
31.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SCR
2 - 1
CAL
40%
23%
37%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
4 - 1
POL
67%
19%
15%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MOC
6 - 0
CAL
36%
24%
40%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
5 - 2
VSA
44%
23%
33%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SON
1 - 1
CAL
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CDEEF Patrocinio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 1
T66
23%
23%
54%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ECG
3 - 2
CDE
33%
22%
45%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CDE
1 - 0
PUE
35%
24%
42%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
CTI
0 - 0
CDE
19%
20%
61%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
CDE
3 - 1
GUA
67%
17%
16%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |