Calella vs Lleida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
36.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
SAB
3 - 0
CAL
84%
10%
6%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
CAL
1 - 2
CDC
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
UES
2 - 0
CAL
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
CAL
2 - 2
GIM
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
CAL
3 - 1
CFV
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1964 |
LLE
1 - 0
CFV
88%
9%
4%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
REU
1 - 2
LLE
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
LLE
3 - 0
TOR
68%
18%
15%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
GIR
2 - 1
LLE
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
LLE
2 - 0
VIC
78%
13%
9%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |