Morvant Caledonia United vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
39.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
NOR
1 - 1
CAL
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
CAL
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 2
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
POL
48%
23%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
POL
56%
23%
22%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
CON
0 - 1
SAN
15%
20%
65%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
SAP
23%
24%
53%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
SAP
4 - 0
CON
70%
19%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 0
CON
83%
12%
5%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |