Caldense vs Uberaba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2025 |
CAL
1 - 1
MAM
37%
27%
36%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
USC
3 - 1
CAL
35%
25%
39%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
CAL
2 - 0
VEC
44%
25%
32%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
MAM
2 - 2
CAL
39%
26%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
URT
2 - 0
CAL
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Uberaba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2025 |
URT
1 - 1
USC
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
USC
3 - 1
CAL
35%
25%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2025 |
PAT
2 - 0
USC
58%
23%
18%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
USC
2 - 2
URT
27%
25%
48%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
USC
0 - 0
VEC
45%
23%
33%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |