Caldense vs Nova Venecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
53.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
CAL
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 2
FER
20%
29%
52%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
NVE
3 - 1
CAL
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
URT
49%
27%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
POA
1 - 0
CAL
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nova Venecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
PIN
0 - 1
NVE
69%
18%
13%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
NVE
1 - 1
POA
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
NVE
2 - 2
VIT
58%
21%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
POA
1 - 1
NVE
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
NVE
14%
18%
68%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |