Mineiro 1 Interior Trophy Final
Global 1-1
Caldense vs Athletic Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
48.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ATM
3 - 0
CAL
90%
8%
2%
|
51 | 90 | 39 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 2
ATM
7%
18%
75%
|
51 | 90 | 39 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ATM
3 - 0
CAL
90%
8%
2%
|
51 | 90 | 39 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
ATH
32%
24%
44%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
DEM
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 2
CRZ
10%
17%
73%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 0
ATH
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 0
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
ATH
32%
24%
44%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ATH
4 - 0
URT
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |