Caldas vs Vitoria de Sernache analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NAV
1 - 2
CAL
29%
27%
45%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
CAL
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 1
PRA
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 1
GDR
63%
22%
15%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 2
OLE
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
VIT
30%
22%
47%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
OLE
2 - 1
VIT
17%
19%
64%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 2
FAT
19%
25%
56%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
VIT
68%
19%
13%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |