Caldas vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
53.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 0
CAL
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 2
CAL
59%
23%
19%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 0
LOU
50%
24%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 0
CAL
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GFC
5 - 0
CAL
89%
8%
2%
|
40 | 74 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MAF
5 - 0
ATL
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MAF
1 - 1
UDL
52%
24%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ADP
0 - 1
MAF
12%
22%
66%
|
56 | 18 | 38 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAF
2 - 1
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
MAF
0 - 1
BMA
30%
24%
47%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |