Caldas vs Fontinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 1
CAL
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 3
UDL
20%
25%
56%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 1
VAR
12%
21%
67%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
PRA
0 - 1
CAL
78%
15%
7%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 0
USA
83%
12%
5%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Fontinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
VIT
1 - 1
GDF
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
GDF
1 - 3
CON
77%
14%
10%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
VIZ
6 - 1
GDF
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SER
0 - 2
GDF
57%
21%
22%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
GDF
1 - 2
BEN
28%
26%
46%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |