Caldas vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
FAT
1 - 1
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 1
TOR
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LOU
0 - 0
CAL
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
ADP
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
CAL
18%
21%
61%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ADP
1 - 0
CAR
25%
24%
52%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 2
FAT
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 2
ATL
77%
15%
9%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
ALC
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |