Caldas vs Amora FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+48%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
9º
3º
16
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
26 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 0
CAL
56%
23%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAL
4 - 1
PER
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 1
CAL
24%
25%
51%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
1DE
62%
22%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
SPC
21%
24%
55%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Amora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PER
0 - 1
AMO
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AMO
2 - 0
OLI
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
1DE
1 - 0
AMO
34%
26%
40%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
AMO
1 - 3
SCP
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AMO
1 - 3
ALV
36%
26%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |