Portogruaro vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
65.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portogruaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
TRI
1 - 0
POR
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
TRA
0 - 0
POR
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
POR
1 - 0
CUN
57%
24%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
TRE
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
POR
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
LAT
1 - 2
LEC
20%
23%
57%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LEC
5 - 0
ACL
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
LEC
1 - 2
TRA
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
LEC
0 - 2
LAT
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ACD
2 - 2
LEC
13%
21%
67%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |