Padova vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
44%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 0
PAD
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
PAD
1 - 4
CAR
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 1
PAD
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 1
PAD
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
PAD
2 - 2
SIE
21%
27%
53%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 2
BRE
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SIE
1 - 0
NOV
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
NOV
2 - 1
AVE
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 1
NOV
45%
25%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |