Padova vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
PAD
1 - 0
RAV
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2010 |
TRI
0 - 3
PAD
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
PAD
0 - 0
TRI
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
PAD
2 - 1
BRE
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
ABN
1 - 2
PAD
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
NOV
3 - 1
TAR
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
NOV
2 - 3
POR
61%
21%
19%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
POR
1 - 3
NOV
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
NOV
0 - 1
PAG
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ARZ
2 - 1
NOV
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |