Serie B Playoffs Playoff Título. Final
Global 0-2
Padova vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 3
PAD
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 0
VAR
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
TOR
0 - 2
PAD
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PAD
3 - 2
LIV
44%
28%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SAS
0 - 1
PAD
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 2
REG
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
REG
0 - 0
NOV
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 3
MOD
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
PES
1 - 2
NOV
31%
29%
40%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 1
FRO
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |