Padova vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
48.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 1
PAD
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PAD
0 - 0
NUO
36%
29%
35%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 1
PAD
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
PAD
1 - 2
ASC
38%
30%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
CTT
1 - 1
PAD
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LEC
1 - 0
BRE
39%
26%
36%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
PRG
1 - 2
LEC
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LEC
4 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
USC
2 - 0
LEC
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
LEC
3 - 1
NUO
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |