Serie A Round 27

Padova vs Lazio analysis

Padova Lazio
77 ELO 87
-3.3% Tilt -15.8%
712º General ELO ranking 17º
41º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
26.4%
Padova
27.4%
Draw
46.2%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
Padova
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
46.2%
Win probability
Lazio
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Padova
-6%
-6%
Lazio

ELO progression

Padova
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Padova
Padova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Apr. 1995
BRE
Brescia
1 - 3
Padova
PAD
55%
25%
20%
75 74 1 0
02 Apr. 1995
USF
Calcio Foggia
4 - 1
Padova
PAD
67%
21%
12%
76 82 6 -1
19 Mar. 1995
PAD
Padova
0 - 1
Fiorentina
FIO
32%
28%
39%
76 84 8 0
12 Mar. 1995
ACM
Milan
1 - 0
Padova
PAD
70%
20%
9%
76 91 15 0
05 Mar. 1995
PAD
Padova
2 - 0
Napoli
NAP
30%
27%
43%
76 86 10 0

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Apr. 1995
JUV
Juventus
2 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
64%
22%
15%
88 91 3 0
09 Apr. 1995
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 0
Reggiana
REG
81%
13%
6%
88 78 10 0
02 Apr. 1995
USC
Cremonese
0 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
28%
28%
44%
88 80 8 0
19 Mar. 1995
LAZ
Lazio
4 - 0
Genoa
GEN
74%
16%
10%
88 83 5 0
14 Mar. 1995
BVB
B. Dortmund
2 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
52%
25%
23%
88 87 1 0