Lega Pro Girone B Round 18

Padova vs FC Südtirol analysis

Padova FC Südtirol
60 ELO 47
-5% Tilt 4.4%
712º General ELO ranking 436º
41º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
68.8%
Padova
19.8%
Draw
11.4%
FC Südtirol

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
Padova
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.4%
Win probability
FC Südtirol
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Padova
-7%
+8%
FC Südtirol

ELO progression

Padova
FC Südtirol
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Padova
Padova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2016
ANC
Ancona 1905
2 - 2
Padova
PAD
24%
24%
52%
60 49 11 0
04 Dec. 2016
PAD
Padova
3 - 4
Pordenone
POR
49%
27%
24%
61 58 3 -1
28 Nov. 2016
VNZ
Venezia
1 - 3
Padova
PAD
37%
27%
37%
60 55 5 +1
19 Nov. 2016
PAR
Parma
1 - 4
Padova
PAD
63%
22%
15%
58 69 11 +2
12 Nov. 2016
PAD
Padova
2 - 1
Union Brescia
FER
59%
23%
18%
58 51 7 0

Matches

FC Südtirol
FC Südtirol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 2016
FCS
FC Südtirol
0 - 1
Parma
PAR
11%
21%
68%
48 67 19 0
04 Dec. 2016
MAC
Maceratese
1 - 2
FC Südtirol
FCS
60%
22%
17%
47 53 6 +1
26 Nov. 2016
FCS
FC Südtirol
0 - 0
Lumezzane
ACL
44%
26%
30%
47 48 1 0
19 Nov. 2016
FCS
FC Südtirol
1 - 0
Santarcangelo
SAN
33%
28%
39%
45 51 6 +2
12 Nov. 2016
VNZ
Venezia
2 - 0
FC Südtirol
FCS
71%
18%
11%
46 54 8 -1