Padova vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
47.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
LEC
3 - 2
PAD
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
PAD
1 - 3
PAL
16%
25%
59%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
NUO
2 - 1
PAD
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
PAD
0 - 1
CAR
36%
30%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ASC
2 - 3
PAD
52%
25%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
BEN
3 - 0
CRO
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
NUO
0 - 0
BEN
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
BEN
0 - 1
VER
48%
25%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 0
CTT
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
PAL
0 - 0
BEN
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |