Padova vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
TOR
3 - 1
PAD
79%
15%
7%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
PAD
0 - 0
COM
38%
31%
31%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
USF
4 - 0
PAD
38%
33%
29%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
PAD
1 - 0
PAR
48%
29%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
PAD
1 - 1
REG
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
ANC
1 - 1
COS
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
AVE
0 - 0
ANC
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
LIC
1 - 0
ANC
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
ANC
5 - 0
MES
40%
29%
31%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
PAR
1 - 1
ANC
45%
30%
25%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |