Serie C round 33

Lecco vs SPAL analysis

Lecco SPAL
54 ELO 56
-14.1% Tilt -15.6%
2882º General ELO ranking 2349º
96º Country ELO ranking 74º
ELO win probability
32.5%
Lecco
28.4%
Draw
39.1%
SPAL

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
Lecco
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
39.1%
Win probability
SPAL
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lecco
-24%
-19%
SPAL

ELO progression

Lecco
SPAL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lecco
Lecco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2009
PAD
Padova
2 - 1
Lecco
LEC
63%
22%
14%
53 60 7 0
26 Apr. 2009
LEC
Lecco
3 - 1
Pro Sesto
PRO
43%
28%
29%
52 51 1 +1
19 Apr. 2009
SSS
Sambenedettese
0 - 0
Lecco
LEC
41%
29%
30%
52 50 2 0
11 Apr. 2009
LEC
Lecco
1 - 2
Lumezzane
ACL
40%
29%
31%
53 54 1 -1
05 Apr. 2009
REG
Reggiana
2 - 1
Lecco
LEC
54%
26%
20%
53 59 6 0

Matches

SPAL
SPAL
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2009
SPA
SPAL
0 - 1
Cesena
CES
37%
28%
35%
58 61 3 0
26 Apr. 2009
NOV
Novara
0 - 1
SPAL
SPA
50%
25%
25%
57 56 1 +1
19 Apr. 2009
SPA
SPAL
4 - 1
AC Legnano
UNI
50%
28%
23%
56 53 3 +1
11 Apr. 2009
PRO
Pro Patria
3 - 1
SPAL
SPA
53%
25%
22%
57 60 3 -1
05 Apr. 2009
SPA
SPAL
3 - 1
Venezia
VNZ
49%
28%
23%
56 53 3 +1