Lecco vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
BOR
0 - 1
LEC
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAS
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 2
LEC
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
LEC
2 - 0
INV
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 2
LEC
20%
21%
60%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
LAV
2 - 0
BUS
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SES
3 - 3
LAV
44%
26%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
LAV
2 - 0
STR
82%
12%
6%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
APD
1 - 1
LAV
22%
21%
57%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 1
LAV
75%
16%
10%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |