Calcio Brusaporto vs Caravaggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calcio Brusaporto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 1
CAL
15%
19%
66%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 1
CRE
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
SON
2 - 2
CAL
38%
23%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 1
USP
54%
22%
24%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
SCA
1 - 0
CAL
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
SER
41%
25%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
USB
42%
22%
36%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
CAR
44%
22%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
NOV
3 - 2
CAR
14%
18%
68%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | -1 |