Calasancio vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
YAG
2 - 1
CAL
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 2
ARN
16%
20%
64%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
PRA
4 - 0
CAL
81%
13%
7%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 2
ALF
10%
17%
72%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 4
UDL
8%
16%
76%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ARN
7 - 1
VIL
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 2
ALF
29%
23%
48%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ALB
1 - 0
VIL
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 1
OYO
44%
24%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
CFC
0 - 1
VIL
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |