Calasancio vs Villegas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
YAG
4 - 1
CAL
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
CAL
1 - 2
RIV
11%
18%
70%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
HAR
2 - 0
CAL
94%
5%
1%
|
8 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CAL
2 - 5
SDL
4%
11%
86%
|
9 | 41 | 32 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
1 - 0
CAL
94%
5%
1%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 0
PRA
9%
17%
74%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
BER
2 - 1
VIL
83%
12%
5%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 4
ALF
7%
15%
77%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 3
VIL
45%
24%
31%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 2
OYO
18%
23%
59%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |