Calasancio vs Bañuelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
OYO
1 - 2
CAL
70%
19%
11%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
HAR
11%
20%
70%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
PRA
1 - 0
CAL
18%
24%
58%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 4
NAX
14%
23%
63%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 0
ARN
15%
24%
62%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bañuelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BAÑ
1 - 4
VAR
13%
20%
66%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CLH
4 - 1
BAÑ
82%
13%
5%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BAÑ
2 - 5
SDL
13%
19%
68%
|
14 | 44 | 30 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
UDL
5 - 0
BAÑ
78%
15%
7%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
BAÑ
3 - 3
VAR
9%
17%
74%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | +2 |