Calasancio vs Agoncillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SMC
2 - 0
CAL
22%
26%
52%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
CAL
4 - 0
RIV
27%
26%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 2
OYO
10%
20%
70%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
HAR
5 - 0
CAL
84%
12%
4%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 3
PRA
53%
24%
23%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Agoncillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AGO
0 - 3
VAR
14%
21%
66%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
CLH
1 - 1
AGO
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AGO
0 - 4
SDL
7%
17%
77%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
UDL
3 - 1
AGO
77%
16%
7%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
AGO
1 - 0
BER
51%
25%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |