Calamonte vs Plasencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAL
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 0
CPC
17%
23%
60%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 3
UDF
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
JER
0 - 0
CAL
62%
21%
17%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 2
AZU
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Plasencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
PLA
2 - 0
JER
28%
26%
46%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AZU
5 - 0
PLA
66%
18%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
PLA
0 - 2
CDB
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
UCL
2 - 3
PLA
16%
19%
65%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PLA
3 - 1
PUE
43%
25%
33%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |