Calamocha vs Oliver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
42.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calamocha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
MON
2 - 0
CAL
27%
24%
49%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CAL
3 - 0
UDC
37%
25%
38%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
CAL
0 - 2
CDE
19%
23%
58%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ALF
0 - 2
CAL
49%
23%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CAL
2 - 2
ICF
30%
24%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Oliver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 1
GAR
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CDE
3 - 0
OLI
69%
19%
12%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
OLI
2 - 1
SAA
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CEL
1 - 2
OLI
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
4 - 0
OLI
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |