Calais vs QRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 2
CAL
43%
28%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AUB
0 - 0
CAL
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 1
ARR
41%
26%
34%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 0
ESW
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 0
CAL
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
QUE
4 - 1
BOU
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
PSG
0 - 0
QUE
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 1
AAC
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
MAN
4 - 3
QUE
37%
27%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
QUE
1 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |