Calais vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
36.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 1
CAL
71%
18%
10%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 3
SML
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
VCH
1 - 1
CAL
48%
27%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 4
LEH
47%
26%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ESW
0 - 0
CAL
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
DIE
49%
26%
25%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
LEN
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
FLE
35%
28%
37%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LIL
4 - 1
LEN
43%
25%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 0
IRI
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |