Calais vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
USB
1 - 0
CAL
76%
17%
8%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ESW
1 - 1
CAL
54%
26%
21%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ROY
3 - 2
CAL
42%
28%
31%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
DRA
2 - 1
DIE
50%
27%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
YZE
1 - 1
DRA
38%
29%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
DRA
3 - 2
SAR
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SAI
0 - 3
DRA
39%
28%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
DRA
2 - 0
JUR
37%
28%
36%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |