Los Caimanes vs Alianza Universidad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
25.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Los Caimanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LOS
2 - 2
LOS
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LOS
2 - 0
AUN
47%
28%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PAC
3 - 2
LOS
58%
25%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LOS
4 - 1
BOL
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
LOS
58%
25%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alianza Universidad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AUN
5 - 0
ATL
70%
19%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LOS
2 - 0
AUN
47%
28%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
LOS
1 - 1
AUN
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
AUN
2 - 0
SPO
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AUN
2 - 2
PAC
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |