Cailungo vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
53.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
FIO
1 - 1
CAI
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 1
SGI
34%
25%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
COS
1 - 0
CAI
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CAI
1 - 2
FOL
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
JUV
2 - 0
CAI
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
TFI
1 - 1
PEN
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
COS
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 1
TPE
38%
24%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 0
DOM
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FIO
4 - 0
PEN
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |