Cailungo vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
CAI
1 - 1
VIR
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
TFI
1 - 1
CAI
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
CAI
2 - 0
JUV
82%
13%
5%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
TPE
0 - 0
CAI
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
CAI
2 - 0
SGI
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
LIB
3 - 0
FOL
55%
22%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2002 |
DOM
1 - 1
FOL
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2002 |
FOL
1 - 2
VIR
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
SGI
1 - 2
FOL
26%
24%
50%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
FAE
0 - 0
FOL
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |