Cailungo vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
62.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
SGI
0 - 1
CAI
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2017 |
CAI
3 - 2
FAE
45%
24%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
JUV
3 - 0
CAI
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
CAI
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CAI
1 - 2
TFI
29%
25%
47%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
FIO
3 - 1
LIB
53%
24%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
FIO
5 - 0
FIO
72%
17%
11%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
FIO
5 - 1
VIR
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 1
FIO
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SGI
0 - 3
FIO
14%
19%
67%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | +1 |