Cailungo vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
53%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+64%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FOL
3 - 0
CAI
70%
18%
11%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FIO
7 - 0
CAI
81%
14%
5%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
CAI
0 - 1
JUV
24%
22%
54%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
VIR
3 - 0
CAI
82%
14%
5%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SGI
5 - 0
CAI
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
FIO
4 - 0
PEN
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 1
MUR
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
FAE
0 - 1
FIO
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 2
FOL
35%
24%
42%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
DOM
2 - 2
FIO
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |