Cagliari vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
CAG
1 - 1
LEC
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAG
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
CAG
2 - 1
VER
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
CAG
1 - 0
ASC
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
SIE
1 - 0
CAG
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
VNZ
1 - 0
SAL
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
LIV
2 - 1
VNZ
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
TER
1 - 1
VNZ
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
VNZ
0 - 1
GEN
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
LEC
3 - 1
VNZ
52%
24%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |