Cagliari vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2008 |
CAG
2 - 2
REG
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
UDI
0 - 2
CAG
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CAG
2 - 1
FIO
29%
29%
41%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
INT
2 - 1
CAG
78%
15%
7%
|
78 | 93 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
CAG
2 - 0
EMP
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
TRI
2 - 1
SOR
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
ASC
3 - 1
TRI
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
TRI
0 - 1
TRE
54%
26%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
AVE
2 - 2
TRI
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
TRI
1 - 1
PIA
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |