Cagliari vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1998 |
REG
0 - 0
CAG
20%
25%
55%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
CAG
0 - 0
PRG
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1998 |
REG
2 - 2
CAG
16%
24%
60%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
FIA
1 - 1
CAG
17%
24%
59%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
CAG
2 - 2
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1998 |
ASL
1 - 1
ANC
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1998 |
ASS
3 - 1
ASL
38%
30%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1998 |
ASL
2 - 0
USF
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1998 |
CHI
3 - 1
ASL
59%
24%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1998 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAL
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |