Cagliari vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAG
46%
26%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CAG
1 - 2
FIO
41%
26%
32%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LEC
3 - 3
CAG
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAG
1 - 1
BRE
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GEN
0 - 1
CAG
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CES
1 - 2
INT
13%
23%
64%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 2
CES
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CES
1 - 0
BAR
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 2
CES
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CES
2 - 2
FIO
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |