Caesar vs Heidebloem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caesar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
CAE
0 - 0
VVO
21%
23%
56%
|
12 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 5
ASW
8%
16%
77%
|
13 | 52 | 39 | -1 |
Matches
Heidebloem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
HEI
3 - 0
SPA
52%
22%
27%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
HVC
1 - 0
HEI
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
HEI
3 - 1
LHC
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
HEI
4 - 5
RKS
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SVS
0 - 0
HEI
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |