Caersws vs Rhos Aelwyd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 1
CEF
43%
24%
34%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 2
CON
25%
24%
52%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
LLA
3 - 0
CAE
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CAE
4 - 2
RTW
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FLI
5 - 1
CAE
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Rhos Aelwyd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 2
AEL
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
WEL
1 - 2
AEL
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
RHA
2 - 5
AEL
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
BUC
2 - 3
AEL
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
GUI
4 - 4
AEL
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |