Caersws vs Neath Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
PRE
1 - 0
CAE
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
BAL
2 - 0
CAE
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CAE
1 - 3
BAL
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
ABE
3 - 2
CAE
73%
17%
9%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CAE
0 - 2
HAV
24%
25%
52%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Neath Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
NEW
1 - 0
NEA
34%
25%
41%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
BAL
1 - 0
NEA
36%
25%
38%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
NEA
1 - 1
CEF
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2010 |
ABE
1 - 1
NEA
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
NEA
3 - 2
POR
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |